Showing posts with label Ebola. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ebola. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 9, 2015

Staggering Ebola Predictions

The WHO says more than 20,000 people could be infected by November, while the CDC estimates the epidemic will strike some 500,000 people by the end of January.

WIKIMEDIA, PLOS BIOLOGYMore than 20,000 people are likely to have been infected with Ebola by November 2, the World Health Organization (WHO) Ebola Response Team predicted in the New England Journal of Medicine today (September 23). Extrapolating data from the beginning of the outbreak and accounting for theincreased pace of infections, the team noted that “transmission has to be a little more than halved to achieve control of the epidemic and eventually to eliminate the virus from the human population.”
Meanwhile, at the current rate of transmission and without any further aid, scientists from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimate that “the Ebola epidemic sweeping West Africa could infect up to 500,000 people by the end of January,” The Washington Post reported (via Bloomberg News). The Post also noted that the CDC prediction, which is still under development and set to be released next week, is subject to change. “One of the scary things about this outbreak is that all the general models of the past have been broken,” microbiologist John Connor of Boston University School of Medicine told the newspaper.
Update (September 23): In a Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report article issued after this post was published, the CDC presented a worst-case scenario prediction that—assuming transmission “trends continue without additional interventions,”and correcting for under-reporting—as many as 1.4 million people could be infected with Ebola by January 20, 2015. “It is still possible to reverse the epidemic,” CDC Director Thomas Frieden said in a statment. “Once a sufficient number of Ebola patients are isolated, cases will decline very rapidly—almost as rapidly as they rose.”
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Ebola Outbreak Threatens World Security

The United Nations Security Council declares the situation in West Africa a “threat to international peace and security” and calls for even more resources to fight the spread of the Ebola virus.

Color-enhanced electron micrograph of Ebola virus particlesWIKIMEDIA, PLOS PATHOGENS, THOMAS W. GEISBERTWith more than 2,600 lives now lost to the ongoing Ebola outbreak in West Africa, according to the World Health Organization (WHO), “the gravity and scale of the situation now require a level of international action unprecedented for a health emergency,” United Nations (UN) Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said at an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council last week (September 18).
To curb the spread of the deadly virus, which is now infecting twice as many people every three weeks, the council proposed a resolution that calls for countries to provide even more aid—as much as 20 times the response that has already been put in action, BBC News reported. Specifically, the resolution, which was cosponsored by a record-setting 130 nations, asks countries to send supplies and medical staff to Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone, and to lift travel restrictions in the affected countries to allow aid workers easier access.
“The UN Security Council is charged with the essential duty to maintain international peace and security,” according to a statement from the O’Neill Institute for National & Global Health Law on the resolution. “[A] UNSC resolution could establish a well-coordinated and orderly international response to this unprecedented health crisis.”
In total, the UN estimates that it will cost some $1 billion to contain the virus, Nature news blog reported. “This is likely the greatest peace-time challenge that the United Nations and its agencies have ever faced,” WHO director-general Margaret Chan told the council.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Live Ebola virus detected in survivor's eye months after recovery

Survivors of Ebola virus disease can develop health complications that persist after recovery. Now, a new study of an Ebola survivor describes how the virus remained live in the fluid within one of his eyes for more than 2 months after recovery.

woman having eye exam
The researchers say Ebola disease survivors should be monitored for eye and other health complications after recovery.
The researchers behind the study note that while they found viable Ebola virus in the aqueous humor of the patient's affected eye, tests on tear fluid and conjunctiva samples tested negative for Ebola, suggesting casual contact with Ebola survivors does not pose a risk.
However, they warn that their findings do show a need for infection control when patients who have survived Ebola undergo any invasive procedures in their eyes.
They also note the study highlights the importance of follow-up care for people who have survived infection with Ebola virus.
The team reports the research in the New England Journal of Medicine and presented it at the 2015 Association for Research in Vision and Ophthalmology (ARVO) annual meeting in Denver, Colorado.

Ebola survivors 'require ongoing medical care'

First author and infectious disease specialist Jay Varkey, an assistant professor of medicine at Emory University School of Medicine in Atlanta, GA, says the current Ebola outbreak in West Africa has resulted in the largest number of Ebola survivors in history.
He explains that Ebola survivors "require ongoing medical care to manage complications from the infection that may develop during recovery."
In their paper, Prof. Varkey and colleagues describe the case of 43-year-old Ian Crozier, a Zimbabwe-born doctor and American citizen who became infected with Ebola virus while working at an Ebola treatment center in Sierra Leone.
He was transported to the US and underwent 40 days of treatment in the Serious Communicable Disease Unit at Emory University Hospital.
During his recovery, it was clear that Dr. Crozier had acute uveitis and severe high pressure in one eye.
Uveitis is an inflammation of the middle layer of the eye, which includes the iris - the ring of muscle behind it - and a layer of tissue that supports the retina. It causes redness, blurred vision, eye pain, headaches and sensitivity to light.

Viable Ebola virus persisted in aqueous humor for more than 2 months

Two months after his discharge from the hospital, Dr. Crozier had a full eye exam at the Emory Eye Center. The exam included removal of fluid from inside the eye - a procedure known as "anterior chamber paracentesis."
The results showed he had viable Ebola virus in the aqueous humor of the inflamed eye. This was 9 weeks after the virus had cleared from his bloodstream.
Dr. Crozier was treated with topical corticosteroids and other medications to reduce the higher pressure in his eye. His eyesight has returned to normal following treatment for uveitis and he is continuing to have regular eye exams.
The authors conclude their findings have implications not only for Ebola virus disease (EVD) survivors but also for health care providers who have been sent home for ongoing care. They call for ongoing surveillance for the development of diseases in the eye and other parts of the body in the period following the Ebola outbreak, as Prof. Varkey explains:
"To safely evaluate and treat EVD survivors who develop complications in the eye and other 'immune-privileged' sites of the body, health care providers who perform invasive procedures should develop standard operating protocols for: 1. Safely donning and doffing PPE [personal protection equipment]; 2. Handling laboratory specimens, and 3. Managing medical waste."
Meanwhile, Medical News Today recently reported how leaders of the World Health Organization admitted to faults in their handling of the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. They say they have learned eight valuable lessons from the crisis, including the fact that current national and international capacities and systems cannot cope with large-scale outbreaks.
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Sunday, April 26, 2015

History repeating itself: using the medicine of the past to find the treatments of the future

With the vast number of medical studies that are reported every week, it can feel as though researchers are on a steady and direct march onward into the future, discovering new things about diseases and new forms of treatment day-by-day.

Medieval anatomy manuscript.
What lessons are left to learn from historical medical practices considering the progress that has been made by medicine over the past few decades?
Occasionally, though, a story will emerge where researchers revisit medicine that has long since been abandoned by the establishment and consigned to the murky depths of the past. When these stories occur, they often capture the imagination.
At the start of this month, Medical News Today reported on one such study, in which researchers from the University of Nottingham in the UK may have a discovered a potential new treatment for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in an unlikely source: a 1,000-year-old medieval manuscript.
The eye infection remedy that the researchers found in Bald's Leechbook, a book containing a collection of Anglo-Saxon remedies for a variety of ailments, was as effective if not better at killing MRSA than conventional antibiotics.
As stated before, this kind of discovery is not an isolated incident. Over the past year, MNT have reported on a number of similar studies in which researchers have found inspiration for future treatments and approaches in the medicine of the past.
Why is it that history consistently offers the present and future new ideas for avenues of research, especially when our collective understanding of the human body and health has progressed so far over the past 1,000 years? In this Spotlight feature, we attempt to find out.

Ebola virus and historical precedence

The Ebola crisis that dominated world news last year produced two papers that looked to the past as a way of remedying the present.
When two American missionaries contracted the Ebola virus, an experimental drug untested on humans known as ZMapp was administered. Following this treatment, the missionaries made what was referred to as a miraculous recovery from the disease that has a case fatality rate of around 90%.
In the Annals of Internal Medicine, Dr. Scott Podolsky stated that development of the ZMapp treatment had much in common with methods of treating illness that were developed toward the end of the 19th century, inspired by the work of luminary microbiologists such as Louis Pasteur and Robert Koch.
ZMapp was created by collecting antibodies formed in the blood of mice after exposing them to fragments of the Ebola virus, mirroring the technique of passive serotherapy that was originally used to treat diseases such as pneumonia and meningitis.
One team of researchers chose to look even further back into history to find ways of dealing with the Ebola virus. Dr. Igor Linkov, a visiting professor of the Ca Foscari University, Italy, and colleagues believe that 14th century Venice holds many lessons on how to deal with such a crisis.
Person in hazardous materials outfit holding Ebola test tube.
Forms of infection control utilized in 14th century Venice could be used to inform management of the Ebola virus.
In 1347, the city became the epicenter of a plague epidemic. After initial attempts to fight the disease with prayer and ritual, the Venetians eventually responded by instigating what experts have termed "resilience management."
Although they did not understand the disease itself, the authorities introduced a system of inspection, quarantine stations on nearby islands and the wearing of protective clothing. These measures helped Venice to remain prosperous even after the initial devastation wrought by the plague.
"Resilience management can be a guide to dealing with the current Ebola outbreak in Africa, and others like it, as well as other issues like population growth and the impacts of global climate change," states Dr. Linkov.
"Similar to what the officials of Venice did centuries ago, approaching resilience at the system level provides a way to deal with the unknown and unquantifiable threats we are facing at an increasing frequency."
This example illustrates one simple reason researchers might be inclined to examine the past to treat diseases of the future: historical precedence. The parallels between the epidemics faced by 14th century Venice and present day West Africa are numerous enough to suggest that one or two lessons learned then may still be applicable. Here, history is repeating itself.

Lost knowledge

The example of the medieval eye remedy explains why discoveries can be made using historical sources many years after they were first recorded. In the case of Bald's Leechbook, the knowledge contained within was only made accessible after the manuscript was translated.
The recipe was chosen to be tested by the researchers because the recipe contained ingredients such as garlic that are currently being studied by others for their antibiotic potential.
"We believe modern research into disease can benefit from past responses and knowledge, which is largely contained in nonscientific writings," states study author Dr. Christina Lee. "But the potential of these texts to contribute to addressing the challenges cannot be understood without the combined expertise of both the arts and science."
Manuscripts such as Bald's Leechbook contain recipes that are designed to treat ailments that researchers can now identify as bacterial infections affecting areas of the body such as the eyes, skin, throat and lungs.
"Given that these remedies were developed well before the modern understanding of germ theory, this poses two questions," states Dr. Lee. "How systematic was the development of these remedies? And how effective were these remedies against the likely causative species of bacteria?"
As well as satisfying a particular curiosity by exploring how people in Medieval times approached medicine, the team from the University of Nottingham describe another factor that drives this form of research.
"There is a pressing need to develop new strategies against pathogens because the cost of developing new antibiotics is high and eventual resistance is likely," explains study leader Dr. Freya Harrison, from the School of Life Sciences.
"This truly cross-disciplinary project explores a new approach to modern health care problems by testing whether medieval remedies contain ingredients which kill bacteria or interfere with their ability to cause infection."
Forms of medicine used in the past may have successfully treated certain forms of disease, even if those who administered these treatments were unaware how they worked - much like the authorities of 14th century Venice implementing resilience management. Today, researchers can analyze treatments that were used with success hundreds of years ago and explore the mechanisms behind them.

Re-evaluating traditional medicine

This appraisal of historical medicine is not limited to forms of treatment that may have been previously lost to the past. Researchers are regularly assessing traditional medicine or individual components of folk remedies used for hundreds of years within specific cultures.
A paper published in EMBO Reports examines whether ancient medical knowledge can lead researchers to new drug combinations. "Since our earliest ancestors chewed on certain herbs to relieve pain, or wrapped leaves around wounds to improve healing, natural products have often been the sole means to treat diseases and injuries," the authors explain.
In recent decades, natural products have taken a secondary role in drug discovery and development, but the authors of the paper suggest that over the last few years, attitudes toward natural products have changed:
"The modern tools of chemistry and biology - in particular, the various '-omics' technologies - now allow scientists to detail the exact nature of the biological effects of natural compounds on the human body, as well as to uncover possible synergies, which holds much promise for the development of new therapies against many devastating diseases, including dementia and cancer."
MNT have reported on a number of examples of this form of research over the past year.
Roseroot is a herb that has been used in traditional European folk medicine for over 3,000 years. A recently conducted study has suggested it could be a potential treatment option for depression by stimulating the receptors of neurotransmitters in the brain that are associated with mood regulation.
The herb has been used in traditional medicine to promote work endurance, increase longevity and promote resistance to a number of health conditions including fatigue and depression.
In a previous Spotlight feature, MNT examined the history of fecal microbiota transplants. Although this form of therapy is slowly growing more prominent, the practice of using human stool to treat illness can be traced all the way back to 4th century China.
Literature of this era - perhaps similar to Bald's Leechbook - makes reference to stool being used to treat food poisoning and diarrhea. Evidence of the practice exists throughout history up until World War II, when German soldiers stationed in Africa observed that a Bedouin remedy involving the consumption of camel dung was effective in treating bacterial dysentery.
Also found in traditional Chinese medicine is honeysuckle, frequently consumed in the form of tea. Last year, researchers identified a molecule within the plant that directly targets a family of viruses that includes Spanish flu and avian flu.
By discovering what elements of traditional medicine have curative properties, researchers can develop new forms of treatment that may be effective where the efficacy of current forms of treatment is slowly lessening.

Old solutions for new problems

Many health professionals are concerned that we are approaching - or indeed have reached - a postantibiotic era. Antimicrobial resistance is an urgent issue that many researchers are spending considerable amounts of time and energy into addressing.
Ancient books and laptop.
Present day research into disease can benefit from the insight of the past.
More and more microbial pathogens are adapting and evolving in ways that render them resistant to the antimicrobial drugs that had redefined health care in the 20th century.
"Antibiotics transformed the very practice of medicine," explains Dr. Podolsky. "By the late 1980s and early 1990s, however, in the wake of the AIDS epidemic, increasingly identified antibiotic resistance, public health retrenchment, and increasing globalization, such initial optimism had given way to fears regarding 'emerging infections' and a 'world out of balance.'"
A time is approaching where the solutions that have been so effective for so long are no longer able to protect people from disease. As this time draws nearer, scientists need to be developing new strategies of dealing with illness.
In the pre-antibiotic era, such strategies were used out of necessity. It is not surprising that, as a result, many researchers are looking to the past and revisiting previously used methods with a fresh eye in order to create new forms of treatment.
Yes, there is evidence of history consistently repeating itself, but it is equally true that new challenges will also present themselves. By combining hindsight and new breakthroughs in scientific knowledge, researchers may already have the materials to solve these challenges at their disposal.
It could simply be a matter of looking in the right place, or time.
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